Tsunami Sources for Hazard Assessment

Special Interest Group

Tsunami Sources for Hazard Assessment

Simulating the fluid dynamics of a tsunami requires a source model specifying seafloor motion.  For tsunami hazard assessment, a collection of sources is needed that spans some range of potential future earthquakes.  Within the Cascadia Subduction Zone, several sets of sources have been used in the past, either for “scenario modeling” or for full probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA).  New sets are being actively generated and studied by the DET Working Group, as well as by others such as the USGS Powell Center Tsunami Source Standardization Working Group and Cascadia CoPes Hub Team 1. This SIG seeks to help tsunami modelers and stakeholders in the emergency management and engineering communities understand the relation between these sets of sources and their appropriate use for practical tsunami hazard assessment projects or risk/loss calculations, while also ensuring transparent reproducibility of source generation methods and fostering continued improvements to these models.  This SIG will collaborate with the CPAL Working Group to include information on past inundation and land-level changes as context to these sources, using recent geologic studies, when feasible. This SIG will also work on collecting and/or cataloging sources in open data repositories, and developing software and tutorials to facilitate their use.